Dec 04 2007
Sea Ice Bet
Via James Annan.
Brian has already blogged the details, and so has William. All three of us are joining forces to oppose Joe Romm’s claim that the Arctic will be essentially ice free (down to 10% of the historical mean minimum) by 2020.
Brian originally bravely offered to stake a spare button and an old stick of part-chewed gum. William offered up $500, and I suggested $1000. At this point, Brian decided he could be a bit braver and Joe started to sound a bit lukewarm. In the end we agreed to evenly share $1000. It is interesting to observe, and experience, how the contemplation of putting down hard cash (even if not very much) focusses the mind!
I don’t have the cash to make a bet on this, but I’d also go with the trio betting against Romm.
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