Dec 18 2007

Compare and Contrast: NCEP, GISS Temperatures

Published under Climate Change

Yesterday I was messing around with the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis and decided to plot the time series of the global mean temperature. This can be seen below in black. I then ploted the GISS temperature, in purple(?).

ncep giss temperature records

As can easily be seen, the temperatures from 1948 through 1980 track each other very well. However, at this point they start diverging. The temperature calculated by GISS rises at a higher rate than that from NCEP. I haven’t done any statistical tests on the rate of increase in temperature.

Which of the two temperature trends is correct?

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