Mar 31 2008
Using an Accurate Global Temperature Index to Diagnose Global Climate Change
Please note that this post was part of an April Fools Day Experiment. Comments have been turned off. If you wish to comment, please read the thread April Fools, Skepticism, and Climate Change and comment there. The original post follows.
When discussing global climate change, it is necessary to degrade the overly-complex to simple metrics. This is especially true when the conversation involves the lay public. Thus, we often hear scientists exclaim that the global temperature has risen by 1 degree Celsius in the last few years. This is unfortunate because it conceals the details that often are counter-intuitive.
Global Temperature Index
When diagnosing global climate change, a temperature index is often used that is derived from the lower troposphere. This is no coincidence since we live in the lower troposphere, and its temperature is innately important for our survival. However, it is not a good metric for global climate change studies. When carbon dioxide (CO2) is added to our atmosphere, radiative transfer models predict that the temperature in the lower troposphere will increase. However, they also predict that the temperature in the stratosphere will decrease.
Continue Reading »
